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ESP España - Copa Federación · Final ·

CD Colonia Moscardó vs México FC

Prediction review

Local form
Final score3–1Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local49%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante25%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 49% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local49% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD Colonia MoscardóMéxico FC
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de52% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
49% / 26% / 25%Resultado del partidoVictoria local49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes México FC win (25%)Doble Oportunidad1X75%1.33
Más de 48% · Menos de 52%Goals 2.5Menos de52%1.92
Sí 51% · No 49%Ambos equipos marcan51%1.96
2.59 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Colonia Moscardó win49%2.041.8049.6%
Empate26%3.853.5025.5%
México FC win25%4.003.6024.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Colonia Moscardó1.55

Local share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 48% · Menos de 52%

México FC1.04

Visitante share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CD Colonia Moscardó

0.25pts / match
Jugados4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Puntos1

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/4

Visitante-context · form sequence

México FC

0.50pts / match
Jugados4Wins0Drawn2Losses2Puntos2

SignalVisitante failed to score: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Ganado probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
2
1.55
Expected goals
1.04
CD Colonia MoscardóMéxico FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Colonia Moscardó signalLocal failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02México FC signalVisitante failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CD Colonia Moscardó vs México FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Colonia Moscardó ganada 49%,Empate 26%,México FC ganada 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Más de 2.5 48% · Current selection Menos de