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ESP Spagna - Copa Federacion · Final ·

CD Colonia Moscardo vs Mexico FC

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score3–1Pronostico 2–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa49%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite25%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 49% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa49% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD Colonia MoscardoMexico FC
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto52% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
49% / 26% / 25%Esito partitaVittoria casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mexico FC win (25%)Doppia Chance1X75%1.33
Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%Goals 2.5Sotto52%1.92
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.59 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.1 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Colonia Moscardo win49%2.041.8049.6%
Pareggio26%3.853.5025.5%
Mexico FC win25%4.003.6024.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Colonia Moscardo1.55

Casa share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 48% · Sotto 52%

Mexico FC1.04

Trasferta share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

CD Colonia Moscardo

0.25pts / match
Giocate4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Punti1

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/4

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Mexico FC

0.50pts / match
Giocate4Wins0Drawn2Losses2Punti2

SignalTrasferta failed to score: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vinta probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
2
1.55
Expected goals
1.04
CD Colonia MoscardoMexico FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Colonia Moscardo signalCasa failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mexico FC signalTrasferta failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CD Colonia Moscardo vs Mexico FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Colonia Moscardo vinta 49%,Pareggio 26%,Mexico FC vinta 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Sopra 2.5 48% · Current selection Sotto