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ESP Испания - Копа Федерасион · Final ·

КД Колония Москардо vs ФК Мексико

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score3–1Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина49%
Равен26%
Победа за госта25%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 49% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина49% selection probability
Projected score2–1КД Колония МоскардоФК Мексико
Expected goals2.59Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
49% / 26% / 25%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Мексико win (25%)Двоен шанс1X75%1.33
Над 48% · Под 52%Goals 2.5Под52%1.92
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.59 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
КД Колония Москардо win49%2.041.8049.6%
Равен26%3.853.5025.5%
ФК Мексико win25%4.003.6024.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

КД Колония Москардо1.55

Домакин share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.59Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 48% · Под 52%

ФК Мексико1.04

Гост share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

КД Колония Москардо

0.25pts / match
Изиграни4Wins0Drawn1Losses3Точки1

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/4

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Мексико

0.50pts / match
Изиграни4Wins0Drawn2Losses2Точки2

SignalГост failed to score: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
25%
1
Points from supplied form
2
1.55
Expected goals
1.04
КД Колония МоскардоФК Мексико
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01КД Колония Москардо signalДомакин failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Мексико signalГост failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

КД Колония Москардо vs ФК Мексико FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

КД Колония Москардо печеливш 49%,Равен 26%,ФК Мексико печеливш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.59 · Над 2.5 48% · Current selection Под