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PRY Paraguay - Division Intermedia · Round 14 ·

Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo CapiataSol de America
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder64% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 29% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Dubbele Kans1270.8%1.41
Boven 36% · Onder 64%Goals 2.5Onder64%1.56
Ja 44% · Nee 56%Beide teams scorenNee56%1.79
2.15 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDeportivo Capiata winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Capiata win37%2.702.4037.6%-0.6 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Sol de America win34%2.942.7033.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Capiata0.97

Thuis share of expected goals 45.1%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 36% · Onder 64%

Sol de America1.18

Uit share of expected goals 54.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nee 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Deportivo Capiata

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sol de America

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn5Losses0Punten5

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
5
0.97
Expected goals
1.18
Deportivo CapiataSol de America
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Capiata signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sol de America signalUit matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Capiata gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 29%,Sol de America gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Boven 2.5 36% · Current selection Onder