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PRY Paraguay Division Intermedia · Round 14 ·

Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw31%
Away win38%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo CapiataSol de America
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 31% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Capiata win (30.9%)Double chanceX269.1%1.45
Over 36% · Under 64%Goals 2.5Under64%1.56
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.15 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Deportivo Capiata win31%3.23
Draw31%3.23
Sol de America win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Capiata0.97

Home share of expected goals 45.1%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 36% · Under 64%

Sol de America1.18

Away share of expected goals 54.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Deportivo Capiata

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sol de America

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn5Losses0Points5

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
3
Points from supplied form
5
0.97
Expected goals
1.18
Deportivo CapiataSol de America
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Capiata signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sol de America signalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de America FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Capiata win 31%,Draw 31%,Sol de America win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · Over 2.5 36% · Current selection Under