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PRY Парагвай - Дивизион Интермедиа · Round 14 ·

Депориво Капиата vs Соль де Америка

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей34%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Депориво КапиатаСоль де Америка
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 29% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Двойной шанс1270.8%1.41
Больше 36% · Меньше 64%Goals 2.5Меньше64%1.56
Да 44% · Нет 56%Обе забьютНет56%1.79
2.15 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapДепориво Капиата winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Депориво Капиата win37%2.702.4037.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Соль де Америка win34%2.942.7033.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Депориво Капиата0.97

Хозяева share of expected goals 45.1%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 36% · Меньше 64%

Соль де Америка1.18

Гости share of expected goals 54.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Нет 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Депориво Капиата

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Соль де Америка

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn5Losses0Баллы5

SignalГости matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
5
0.97
Expected goals
1.18
Депориво КапиатаСоль де Америка
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Депориво Капиата signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Соль де Америка signalГости matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Депориво Капиата vs Соль де Америка FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Депориво Капиата выигрыш 37%,Ничья 29%,Соль де Америка выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · ТБ 2.5 36% · Current selection Меньше