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PRY Парагвай - Дивизион Интермедиа · Round 14 ·

ФК Энкарнасьон vs Парагвари АК

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев34%
Ничья32%
Победа гостей35%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей35% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК ЭнкарнасьонПарагвари АК
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше65% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
34% / 32% / 35%Исход матчаПобеда гостей35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.6%)Двойной шанс1268.4%1.46
Больше 35% · Меньше 65%Goals 2.5Меньше65%1.54
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
2.11 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Энкарнасьон win34%2.94
Ничья32%3.13
Парагвари АК win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Энкарнасьон1.04

Хозяева share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 35% · Меньше 65%

Парагвари АК1.07

Гости share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Энкарнасьон

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Парагвари АК

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.07
ФК ЭнкарнасьонПарагвари АК
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Энкарнасьон signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Парагвари АК signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

ФК Энкарнасьон vs Парагвари АК FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Энкарнасьон выигрыш 34%,Ничья 32%,Парагвари АК выигрыш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · ТБ 2.5 35% · Current selection Меньше