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PRY Paraguay Division Intermedia · Round 14 ·

Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Encarnacion FCParaguari AC
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto65% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 29% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Doppia Chance1271%1.41
Sopra 35% · Sotto 65%Goals 2.5Sotto65%1.54
Sì 43% · No 57%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57%1.75
2.11 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapEncarnacion FC winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Encarnacion FC win37%2.702.4037.2%-0.2 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Paraguari AC win34%2.942.6334%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Encarnacion FC1.04

Casa share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 35% · Sotto 65%

Paraguari AC1.07

Trasferta share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Encarnacion FC

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Paraguari AC

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.07
Encarnacion FCParaguari AC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Encarnacion FC signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paraguari AC signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Encarnacion FC vinta 37%,Pareggio 29%,Paraguari AC vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Sopra 2.5 35% · Current selection Sotto