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PRY Paraguay Division Intermedia · Round 14 ·

Encarnación FC vs Paraguarí AC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg37%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Encarnación FCParaguarí AC
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter65% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 29% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Doppelte Chance1271%1.41
Über 35% · Unter 65%Goals 2.5Unter65%1.54
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
2.11 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapEncarnación FC winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Encarnación FC win37%2.702.4037.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Paraguarí AC win34%2.942.6334%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Encarnación FC1.04

Heim share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 35% · Unter 65%

Paraguarí AC1.07

Auswärts share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Encarnación FC

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Paraguarí AC

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.07
Encarnación FCParaguarí AC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Encarnación FC signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paraguarí AC signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Encarnación FC vs Paraguarí AC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Encarnación FC Gewinn 37%,Unentschieden 29%,Paraguarí AC Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Über 2.5 35% · Current selection Unter