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PRY Paraguay Division Intermedia · Round 14 ·

Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw32%
Away win35%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Encarnacion FCParaguari AC
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 32% / 35%Match resultAway win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.5%)Double chance1268.5%1.46
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.11 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Encarnacion FC win34%2.94
Draw32%3.13
Paraguari AC win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Encarnacion FC1.04

Home share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

Paraguari AC1.07

Away share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Encarnacion FC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Paraguari AC

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.07
Encarnacion FCParaguari AC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Encarnacion FC signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paraguari AC signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Encarnacion FC vs Paraguari AC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Encarnacion FC win 34%,Draw 32%,Paraguari AC win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under