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PRY 巴拉圭中级联赛 · Round 14 ·

卡比亞塔 vs 索爾美洲

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.15 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝37%
29%
客勝34%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝37% selection probability
Projected score1–1卡比亞塔索爾美洲
Expected goals2.15Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.564% for the selected side
雙方進球56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
37% / 29% / 34%比賽結果主勝37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)雙勝彩1270.8%1.41
大 36% · 小 64%Goals 2.564%1.56
是 44% · 否 56%雙方進球56%1.79
2.15 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gap卡比亞塔 winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
卡比亞塔 win37%2.702.4037.6%-0.6 pp
29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
索爾美洲 win34%2.942.7033.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

卡比亞塔0.97

主隊 share of expected goals 45.1%

Total expected goals2.15Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 36% · 64%

索爾美洲1.18

客隊 share of expected goals 54.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

卡比亞塔

0.60pts / match
5Wins0Drawn3Losses2積分3

Signal客隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

索爾美洲

1.00pts / match
5Wins0Drawn5Losses0積分5

Signal客隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
贏 probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
5
0.97
Expected goals
1.18
卡比亞塔索爾美洲
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01卡比亞塔 signal客隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02索爾美洲 signal客隊 matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

卡比亞塔 vs 索爾美洲 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

卡比亞塔 37%, 29%,索爾美洲 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.15 · 大2.5 36% · Current selection