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ITA Italië - Serie B · Wedstrijd ·

Virtus Entella vs Cesena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst30%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Virtus EntellaCesena
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 31% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cesena win (30%)Dubbele Kans1X70%1.43
Boven 38% · Onder 62%Goals 2.5Onder62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Virtus Entella win39%2.56
Gelijkspel31%3.23
Cesena win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Virtus Entella1.24

Thuis share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 38% · Onder 62%

Cesena0.97

Uit share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Virtus Entella

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Cesena

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.24
Expected goals
0.97
Virtus EntellaCesena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Virtus Entella signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cesena signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Virtus Entella vs Cesena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Virtus Entella gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 31%,Cesena gewonnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Boven 2.5 38% · Current selection Onder