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ITA Ιταλία - Σέριε B · Αγώνας ·

Βίρτους Εντέλα vs Τσεζένα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου39%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου30%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Βίρτους ΕντέλαΤσεζένα
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω62% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
39% / 31% / 30%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τσεζένα win (30%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X70%1.43
Άνω 38% · Κάτω 62%Goals 2.5Κάτω62%1.61
Ναι 45% · Όχι 55%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Βίρτους Εντέλα win39%2.56
Ισοπαλία31%3.23
Τσεζένα win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Βίρτους Εντέλα1.24

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 38% · Κάτω 62%

Τσεζένα0.97

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 45% · Όχι 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Βίρτους Εντέλα

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τσεζένα

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.24
Expected goals
0.97
Βίρτους ΕντέλαΤσεζένα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Βίρτους Εντέλα signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τσεζένα signalΓηπεδούχος won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Βίρτους Εντέλα vs Τσεζένα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Βίρτους Εντέλα νίκη 39%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Τσεζένα νίκη 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Άνω 2.5 38% · Current selection Κάτω