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ITA Italia - Serie B · Meci ·

Virtus Entella vs Cesena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde39%
Egal31%
Victorie oaspeți30%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Virtus EntellaCesena
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
39% / 31% / 30%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cesena win (30%)Șansă dublă1X70%1.43
Peste 38% · Sub 62%Goals 2.5Sub62%1.61
Da 45% · Nu 55%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Virtus Entella win39%2.56
Egal31%3.23
Cesena win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Virtus Entella1.24

Gazde share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 38% · Sub 62%

Cesena0.97

Oaspeți share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 45% · Nu 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Virtus Entella

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Cesena

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Câștig probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.24
Expected goals
0.97
Virtus EntellaCesena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Virtus Entella signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cesena signalGazde won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Virtus Entella vs Cesena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Virtus Entella câștig 39%,Egal 31%,Cesena câștig 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Peste 2.5 38% · Current selection Sub