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ITA Italy Serie B · Maç ·

Virtus Entella vs Cesena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır39%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır30%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Virtus EntellaCesena
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt62% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
39% / 31% / 30%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cesena win (30%)Çifte Şans1X70%1.43
Üst 38% · Alt 62%Goals 2.5Alt62%1.61
Evet 45% · Hayır 55%Karşılıklı gol varHayır55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.2 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Virtus Entella win39%2.56
Beraberlik31%3.23
Cesena win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Virtus Entella1.24

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 38% · Alt 62%

Cesena0.97

Deplasman share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 45% · Hayır 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Virtus Entella

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Cesena

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.24
Expected goals
0.97
Virtus EntellaCesena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Virtus Entella signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cesena signalEv Sahibi won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Virtus Entella vs Cesena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Virtus Entella kazanç 39%,Beraberlik 31%,Cesena kazanç 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · 2.5 Üst 38% · Current selection Alt