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ITA Italien - Serie B · Match ·

Virtus Entella vs Cesena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.21 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger39%
Oavgjort31%
Bortaseger30%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Virtus EntellaCesena
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
39% / 31% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cesena win (30%)Dubbelchans1X70%1.43
Över 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Virtus Entella win39%2.56
Oavgjort31%3.23
Cesena win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Virtus Entella1.24

Hemma share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 38% · Under 62%

Cesena0.97

Borta share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Virtus Entella

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Cesena

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
11
1.24
Expected goals
0.97
Virtus EntellaCesena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Virtus Entella signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cesena signalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Virtus Entella vs Cesena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Virtus Entella vunnen 39%,Oavgjort 31%,Cesena vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Över 2.5 38% · Current selection Under