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ITA Italië - Serie B · Wedstrijd ·

Ascoli vs Carrarese

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst23%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score2–1AscoliCarrarese
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 29% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Carrarese win (22.5%)Dubbele Kans1X77.5%1.29
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ascoli win48%2.081.9148.3%
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1029.8%
Carrarese win23%4.354.2022%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ascoli1.51

Thuis share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

Carrarese1.00

Uit share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ascoli

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Punten3

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Carrarese

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.51
Expected goals
1.00
AscoliCarrarese
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ascoli signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carrarese signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ascoli vs Carrarese FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ascoli gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 29%,Carrarese gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder