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ITA Italia - Serie B · Partita ·

Ascoli vs Carrarese

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.51 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa48%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite23%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa48% selection probability
Projected score2–1AscoliCarrarese
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 29% / 23%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Carrarese win (22.5%)Doppia Chance1X77.5%1.29
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ascoli win48%2.081.9148.3%
Pareggio29%3.453.1029.8%
Carrarese win23%4.354.2022%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ascoli1.51

Casa share of expected goals 60.2%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%

Carrarese1.00

Trasferta share of expected goals 39.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Ascoli

1.00pts / match
Giocate3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Punti3

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Carrarese

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
23%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.51
Expected goals
1.00
AscoliCarrarese
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ascoli signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carrarese signalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ascoli vs Carrarese FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ascoli vinta 48%,Pareggio 29%,Carrarese vinta 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto