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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 19 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 28% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dubbele Kans1272%1.39
Boven 37% · Onder 63%Goals 2.5Onder63%1.59
Ja 43% · Nee 57%Beide teams scorenNee57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSantiago Wanderers winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Wanderers win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2027.8%+0.2 pp
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Thuis share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 37% · Onder 63%

San Marcos De Arica0.92

Uit share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nee 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.92
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 28%,San Marcos De Arica gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Boven 2.5 37% · Current selection Onder