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CHL Chile - Primera B · Round 19 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local43%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersClub Deportivo San Marcos de Arica
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de63% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
43% / 28% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doble Oportunidad1272%1.39
Más de 37% · Menos de 63%Goals 2.5Menos de63%1.59
Sí 43% · No 57%Ambos equipos marcanNo57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSantiago Wanderers winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Wanderers win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp
Empate28%3.573.2027.8%+0.2 pp
Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica win29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Local share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 37% · Menos de 63%

Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica0.92

Visitante share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.92
Santiago WanderersClub Deportivo San Marcos de Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers ganada 43%,Empate 28%,Club Deportivo San Marcos de Arica ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Más de 2.5 37% · Current selection Menos de