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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 19 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy43%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości29%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 28% / 29%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Podwójna szansa1272%1.39
Powyżej 37% · Poniżej 63%Goals 2.5Poniżej63%1.59
Tak 43% · Nie 57%Obie drużyny strzeląNie57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSantiago Wanderers winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Wanderers win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp
Remis28%3.573.2027.8%+0.2 pp
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Gospodarze share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 37% · Poniżej 63%

San Marcos De Arica0.92

Goście share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 43% · Nie 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.92
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers wygrana 43%,Remis 28%,San Marcos De Arica wygrana 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Powyżej 2.5 37% · Current selection Poniżej