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CHL Chile Primera B · Round 19 ·

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 28% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dubbelchans1272%1.39
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 43% · Nej 57%Båda lagen gör målNej57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapSantiago Wanderers winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Wanderers win43%2.332.0543.4%-0.4 pp
Oavgjort28%3.573.2027.8%+0.2 pp
San Marcos De Arica win29%3.453.1028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Wanderers1.24

Hemma share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%

San Marcos De Arica0.92

Borta share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nej 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Santiago Wanderers

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

San Marcos De Arica

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.24
Expected goals
0.92
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos De Arica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Wanderers signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Marcos De Arica signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos De Arica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Wanderers vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 28%,San Marcos De Arica vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under