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CHL Chile Primera B · Wedstrijd ·

Rangers de Talca vs Curico Unido

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.69 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Rangers de TalcaCurico Unido
Expected goals1.69Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder76% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 29% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Dubbele Kans1271.2%1.40
Boven 24% · Onder 76%Goals 2.5Onder76%1.32
Ja 33% · Nee 67%Beide teams scorenNee67%1.49
1.69 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rangers de Talca win40%2.502.3040%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2528.3%+0.7 pp
Curico Unido win32%3.132.9031.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rangers de Talca0.90

Thuis share of expected goals 53.3%

Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 24% · Onder 76%

Curico Unido0.79

Uit share of expected goals 46.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nee 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Rangers de Talca

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Curico Unido

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
6
0.90
Expected goals
0.79
Rangers de TalcaCurico Unido
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rangers de Talca signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Curico Unido signalThuis failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Rangers de Talca vs Curico Unido FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rangers de Talca gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 29%,Curico Unido gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.69 · Boven 2.5 24% · Current selection Onder