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JPN Japan - Regional League · Wedstrijd ·

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.10 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst37%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score2–2MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Expected goals3.10Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 25% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nee 38%Beide teams scorenJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MHI Nagasaki win38%2.632.3538.3%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%
KMG Holdings win37%2.702.4536.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MHI Nagasaki1.56

Thuis share of expected goals 50.3%

Total expected goals3.10Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

KMG Holdings1.54

Uit share of expected goals 49.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nee 38%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

MHI Nagasaki

0.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Punten1

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/3

Uit-context · form sequence

KMG Holdings

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
15
1.56
Expected goals
1.54
MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MHI Nagasaki signalThuis failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KMG Holdings signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MHI Nagasaki gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 25%,KMG Holdings gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven