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JPN Japan - Japansk regionsliga · Match ·

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.10 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger38%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger37%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger38% selection probability
Projected score2–2MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Expected goals3.10Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
38% / 25% / 37%MatchresultatHemmaseger38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbelchans1275.1%1.33
Över 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Över60%1.67
Ja 62% · Nej 38%Båda lagen gör målJa62%1.61
3.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MHI Nagasaki win38%2.632.3538.3%
Oavgjort25%4.003.6025%
KMG Holdings win37%2.702.4536.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MHI Nagasaki1.56

Hemma share of expected goals 50.3%

Total expected goals3.10Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 60% · Under 40%

KMG Holdings1.54

Borta share of expected goals 49.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 62% · Nej 38%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

MHI Nagasaki

0.33pts / match
Spelade3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Poäng1

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/3

Borta-context · form sequence

KMG Holdings

3.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poäng15

SignalBorta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
15
1.56
Expected goals
1.54
MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MHI Nagasaki signalHemma failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KMG Holdings signalBorta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MHI Nagasaki vunnen 38%,Oavgjort 25%,KMG Holdings vunnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Över 2.5 60% · Current selection Över