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MHI長崎 vs KMG Holdings

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–23.10 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利37%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score2–2MHI長崎KMG Holdings
Expected goals3.10始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 25% / 37%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)ダブルチャンス1275.1%1.33
オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%Goals 2.5オーバー60%1.67
はい 62% · いいえ 38%両チーム得点はい62%1.61
3.10 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
8.8 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MHI長崎 win38%2.632.3538.3%
引き分け25%4.003.6025%
KMG Holdings win37%2.702.4536.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MHI長崎1.56

ホーム share of expected goals 50.3%

Total expected goals3.10始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%

KMG Holdings1.54

アウェイ share of expected goals 49.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 62% · いいえ 38%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

MHI長崎

0.33pts / match
試合数3Wins0Drawn1Losses2ポイント1

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/3

アウェイ-context · form sequence

KMG Holdings

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
15
1.56
Expected goals
1.54
MHI長崎KMG Holdings
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MHI長崎 signalホーム failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KMG Holdings signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MHI長崎 vs KMG Holdings FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MHI長崎 勝ち 38%,引き分け 25%,KMG Holdings 勝ち 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · オーバー 2.5 60% · Current selection オーバー