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JPN Japonia - Regional League · Mecz ·

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.11 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy25%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości52%
Market-based forecastWygrana gościTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości52% selection probability
Projected score1–2MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Expected goals3.11Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej60% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
25% / 23% / 52%Wynik meczuWygrana gości52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Podwójna szansa1277.3%1.29
Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%Goals 2.5Powyżej60%1.67
Tak 62% · Nie 38%Obie drużyny strzeląTak62%1.61
3.11 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
8.8 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MHI Nagasaki win25%4.003.8023.7%
Remis23%4.354.0022.5%
KMG Holdings win52%1.921.6753.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MHI Nagasaki1.31

Gospodarze share of expected goals 42.1%

Total expected goals3.11Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%

KMG Holdings1.80

Goście share of expected goals 57.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 62% · Nie 38%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MHI Nagasaki

0.33pts / match
Rozegrane3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Punkty1

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/3

Goście-context · form sequence

KMG Holdings

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGoście unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
52%
1
Points from supplied form
15
1.31
Expected goals
1.80
MHI NagasakiKMG Holdings
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MHI Nagasaki signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KMG Holdings signalGoście unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MHI Nagasaki vs KMG Holdings FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MHI Nagasaki wygrana 25%,Remis 23%,KMG Holdings wygrana 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Powyżej 2.5 60% · Current selection Powyżej