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IK Start vs Fredrikstad

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score0–1Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score1–1IK StartFredrikstad
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 26% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Dubbele Kans1273.6%1.36
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.54 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapIK Start winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IK Start win44%2.272.1045.1%-1.1 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
Fredrikstad win29%3.453.3028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IK Start1.27

Thuis share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

Fredrikstad1.27

Uit share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

IK Start

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Fredrikstad

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.27
Expected goals
1.27
IK StartFredrikstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IK Start signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fredrikstad signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

IK Start vs Fredrikstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IK Start gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 26%,Fredrikstad gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder