What is the IK Start vs Fredrikstad prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 1–1 and a selected-call probability of 44%.

What are the IK Start vs Fredrikstad 1X2 probabilities?

IK Start win 44%, draw 26%, and Fredrikstad win 29%.

How many goals are expected in IK Start vs Fredrikstad?

The displayed projection is 2.54 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 47%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

NOR Norway Eliteserien · Final · Sun, Aug 9, 00:00

IK Start vs Fredrikstad

Prediction review

Home form

Final score0–1Forecast 1–1

Away form

Home win44%

Draw26%

Away win29%

Full model forecastHome winTier A · 44% selection probability

Prediction LostAug 09, 2026, 02:19

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability

Projected score1–1IK Start — Fredrikstad

Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side

Expected corners9.7Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

44% / 26% / 29%Match resultHome win44%2.27

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Double chance1273.6%1.36

Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89

Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92

2.54 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——

9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapIK Start winDifference-1.1 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

IK Start win44%2.272.1045.1%-1.1 pp

Draw26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp

Fredrikstad win29%3.453.3028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IK Start1.27

Home share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Fredrikstad1.27

Away share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

IK Start

0.60pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Fredrikstad

0.60pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

44%

Win probability excluding draw

29%

Points from supplied form

1.27

Expected goals

1.27

IK StartFredrikstad

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IK Start signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fredrikstad signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions