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Kristiansund BK vs Molde

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.89 expected goals
Away form
Home win26%
Draw27%
Away win47%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win47% selection probability
Projected score1–2Kristiansund BKMolde
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 27% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kristiansund BK win (26.2%)Double chanceX273.8%1.36
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.89 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Kristiansund BK win26%3.85
Draw27%3.70
Molde win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kristiansund BK1.10

Home share of expected goals 38.1%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Molde1.79

Away share of expected goals 61.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Kristiansund BK

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Molde

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.10
Expected goals
1.79
Kristiansund BKMolde
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kristiansund BK signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Molde signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Kristiansund BK vs Molde FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kristiansund BK win 26%,Draw 27%,Molde win 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over