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IK Start vs Fredrikstad

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–1Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier44%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier29%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier44% selection probability
Projected score1–1IK StartFredrikstad
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
44% / 26% / 29%KampresultatHjemmeseier44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Dobbel sjanse1273.6%1.36
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nei 48%Begge lag scorerJa52%1.92
2.54 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapIK Start winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IK Start win44%2.272.1045.1%-1.1 pp
Uavgjort26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
Fredrikstad win29%3.453.3028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IK Start1.27

Hjemme share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Fredrikstad1.27

Borte share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nei 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

IK Start

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Fredrikstad

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
29%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.27
Expected goals
1.27
IK StartFredrikstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IK Start signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fredrikstad signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

IK Start vs Fredrikstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IK Start vunnet 44%,Uavgjort 26%,Fredrikstad vunnet 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under