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IK Start vs Fredrikstad

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score0–1Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger44%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger44% selection probability
Projected score1–1IK StartFredrikstad
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
44% / 26% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Dubbelchans1273.6%1.36
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nej 48%Båda lagen gör målJa52%1.92
2.54 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapIK Start winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IK Start win44%2.272.1045.1%-1.1 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.6026.3%-0.3 pp
Fredrikstad win29%3.453.3028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IK Start1.27

Hemma share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Fredrikstad1.27

Borta share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nej 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

IK Start

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Fredrikstad

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.27
Expected goals
1.27
IK StartFredrikstad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IK Start signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fredrikstad signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

IK Start vs Fredrikstad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IK Start vunnen 44%,Oavgjort 26%,Fredrikstad vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under