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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Wedstrijd ·

Atlas (D) vs Pachuca (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–34.27 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst10%
Gelijkspel16%
Uitwinst74%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst74% selection probability
Projected score1–3Atlas (D)Pachuca (D)
Expected goals4.27Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven80% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
10% / 16% / 74%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlas (D) win (10.4%)Dubbele KansX289.6%1.12
Boven 80% · Onder 20%Goals 2.5Boven80%1.25
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
4.27 total expected goalsExacte score1–3
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapPachuca (D) winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atlas (D) win10%10.008.5010.5%-0.5 pp
Gelijkspel16%6.255.5016.2%-0.2 pp
Pachuca (D) win74%1.351.2273.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlas (D)1.10

Thuis share of expected goals 25.8%

Total expected goals4.27Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 80% · Onder 20%

Pachuca (D)3.17

Uit share of expected goals 74.2%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Atlas (D)

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Pachuca (D)

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
10%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
74%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.10
Expected goals
3.17
Atlas (D)Pachuca (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlas (D) signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pachuca (D) signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Atlas (D) vs Pachuca (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–3 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlas (D) gewonnen 10%,Gelijkspel 16%,Pachuca (D) gewonnen 74%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Boven 2.5 80% · Current selection Boven