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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Partita ·

Atlas (F) vs Pachuca (F)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–34.27 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa10%
Pareggio16%
Vittoria ospite74%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite74% selection probability
Projected score1–3Atlas (F)Pachuca (F)
Expected goals4.27Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra80% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
10% / 16% / 74%Esito partitaVittoria ospite74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlas (F) win (10.4%)Doppia ChanceX289.6%1.12
Sopra 80% · Sotto 20%Goals 2.5Sopra80%1.25
Sì 64% · No 36%Entrambe le squadre segnano64%1.56
4.27 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–3
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapPachuca (F) winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atlas (F) win10%10.008.5010.5%-0.5 pp
Pareggio16%6.255.5016.2%-0.2 pp
Pachuca (F) win74%1.351.2273.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlas (F)1.10

Casa share of expected goals 25.8%

Total expected goals4.27Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 80% · Sotto 20%

Pachuca (F)3.17

Trasferta share of expected goals 74.2%

Projected score1–3BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Atlas (F)

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Pachuca (F)

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
10%
Vinta probability excluding draw
74%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.10
Expected goals
3.17
Atlas (F)Pachuca (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlas (F) signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pachuca (F) signalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Atlas (F) vs Pachuca (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–3 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlas (F) vinta 10%,Pareggio 16%,Pachuca (F) vinta 74%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Sopra 2.5 80% · Current selection Sopra