Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
13% / 18% / 68%Match resultAway win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlas (W) win (13.4%)Double chanceX286.6%1.15
Over 80% · Under 20%Goals 2.5Over80%1.25
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
4.27 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atlas (W) win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp
Draw18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp
Pachuca (W) win68%1.471.3367.4%+0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 25.8%
Total expected goals4.27Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 80% · Under 20%
Away share of expected goals 74.2%
Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAtlas (W)
LLDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPachuca (W)
LLWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
13%
Win probability excluding draw
68%4
Points from supplied form
61.10
Expected goals
3.17Atlas (W)Pachuca (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.
Match questions
Atlas (W) vs Pachuca (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 68% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Atlas (W) win 13%，Draw 18%，Pachuca (W) win 68%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.27 · Over 2.5 80% · Current selection Over。