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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Kamp ·

Atlas (K) vs Pachuca (K)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–34.27 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr10%
Uafgjort16%
Udesejr74%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr74% selection probability
Projected score1–3Atlas (K)Pachuca (K)
Expected goals4.27Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over80% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
10% / 16% / 74%KampresultatUdesejr74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atlas (K) win (10.4%)DobbeltchanceX289.6%1.12
Over 80% · Under 20%Goals 2.5Over80%1.25
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Begge hold scorerJa64%1.56
4.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapPachuca (K) winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atlas (K) win10%10.008.5010.5%-0.5 pp
Uafgjort16%6.255.5016.2%-0.2 pp
Pachuca (K) win74%1.351.2273.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlas (K)1.10

Hjemme share of expected goals 25.8%

Total expected goals4.27Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 80% · Under 20%

Pachuca (K)3.17

Ude share of expected goals 74.2%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Atlas (K)

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Pachuca (K)

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalUde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
10%
Vundet probability excluding draw
74%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.10
Expected goals
3.17
Atlas (K)Pachuca (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlas (K) signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pachuca (K) signalUde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Atlas (K) vs Pachuca (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–3 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlas (K) vundet 10%,Uafgjort 16%,Pachuca (K) vundet 74%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Over 2.5 80% · Current selection Over