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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
BRA Brazilië - Paulista Serie B · Wedstrijd ·

America SP U23 vs Independente SP U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst34%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1America SP U23Independente SP U23
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder77% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
34% / 29% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Dubbele Kans1270.5%1.42
Boven 23% · Onder 77%Goals 2.5Onder77%1.30
Ja 32% · Nee 68%Beide teams scorenNee68%1.47
1.66 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapAmerica SP U23 winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
America SP U23 win34%2.942.7033.3%+0.7 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Independente SP U23 win37%2.702.3837.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

America SP U230.93

Thuis share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 23% · Onder 77%

Independente SP U230.73

Uit share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nee 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

America SP U23

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Independente SP U23

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
11
Points from supplied form
15
0.93
Expected goals
0.73
America SP U23Independente SP U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01America SP U23 signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independente SP U23 signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

America SP U23 vs Independente SP U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

America SP U23 gewonnen 34%,Gelijkspel 29%,Independente SP U23 gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · Boven 2.5 23% · Current selection Onder