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BRA Brasil - Campeonato Paulista - Série B · Partida ·

América SP Sub23 vs Independente de Limeira Sub23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa34%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante37%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante37% selection probability
Projected score1–1América SP Sub23Independente de Limeira Sub23
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo77% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
34% / 29% / 37%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Dupla Chance1270.5%1.42
Acima 23% · Abaixo 77%Goals 2.5Abaixo77%1.30
Sim 32% · Não 68%Ambas as equipes marcamNão68%1.47
1.66 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapAmérica SP Sub23 winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
América SP Sub23 win34%2.942.7033.3%+0.7 pp
Empate29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Independente de Limeira Sub23 win37%2.702.3837.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

América SP Sub230.93

Mandante share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 23% · Abaixo 77%

Independente de Limeira Sub230.73

Visitante share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 32% · Não 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

América SP Sub23

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Independente de Limeira Sub23

3.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontos15

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
37%
11
Points from supplied form
15
0.93
Expected goals
0.73
América SP Sub23Independente de Limeira Sub23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01América SP Sub23 signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independente de Limeira Sub23 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

América SP Sub23 vs Independente de Limeira Sub23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

América SP Sub23 ganhou 34%,Empate 29%,Independente de Limeira Sub23 ganhou 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · Acima 2.5 23% · Current selection Abaixo