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BRA Brazília - Paulista Serie B · Mérkőzés ·

America SP - U23 vs Independente SP - U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem34%
Döntetlen29%
Vendég győzelem37%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem37% selection probability
Projected score1–1America SP - U23Independente SP - U23
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt77% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
34% / 29% / 37%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Dupla esély1270.5%1.42
Felett 23% · Alatt 77%Goals 2.5Alatt77%1.30
Igen 32% · Nem 68%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem68%1.47
1.66 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
8.5 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapAmerica SP - U23 winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
America SP - U23 win34%2.942.7033.3%+0.7 pp
Döntetlen29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Independente SP - U23 win37%2.702.3837.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

America SP - U230.93

Hazai share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 23% · Alatt 77%

Independente SP - U230.73

Vendég share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 32% · Nem 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

America SP - U23

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Independente SP - U23

3.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontok15

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Nyert probability excluding draw
37%
11
Points from supplied form
15
0.93
Expected goals
0.73
America SP - U23Independente SP - U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01America SP - U23 signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independente SP - U23 signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

America SP - U23 vs Independente SP - U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

America SP - U23 nyer 34%,Döntetlen 29%,Independente SP - U23 nyer 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · 2.5 felett 23% · Current selection Alatt