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AUS Australia South Australia State League 1 · Wedstrijd ·

Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–13.33 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst71%
Gelijkspel17%
Uitwinst12%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst71% selection probability
Projected score3–1Modbury JetsAdelaide Cobras
Expected goals3.33Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
71% / 17% / 12%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Adelaide Cobras win (12.1%)Dubbele Kans1X87.9%1.14
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 44% · Nee 56%Beide teams scorenNee56%1.79
3.33 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapModbury Jets winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Modbury Jets win71%1.411.2770.3%+0.7 pp
Gelijkspel17%5.885.2517%0.0 pp
Adelaide Cobras win12%8.337.0012.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modbury Jets2.70

Thuis share of expected goals 81.1%

Total expected goals3.33Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

Adelaide Cobras0.63

Uit share of expected goals 18.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nee 56%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Modbury Jets

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Adelaide Cobras

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
0.63
Modbury JetsAdelaide Cobras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modbury Jets signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Cobras signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modbury Jets gewonnen 71%,Gelijkspel 17%,Adelaide Cobras gewonnen 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven