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AUS Australia South Australia State League 1 · Fixture ·

Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.33 expected goals
Away form
Home win71%
Draw17%
Away win12%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win71% selection probability
Projected score3–1Modbury JetsAdelaide Cobras
Expected goals3.33Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
71% / 17% / 12%Match resultHome win71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Adelaide Cobras win (12.1%)Double chance1X87.9%1.14
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
3.33 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapModbury Jets winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Modbury Jets win71%1.411.2770.3%+0.7 pp
Draw17%5.885.2517%0.0 pp
Adelaide Cobras win12%8.337.0012.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modbury Jets2.70

Home share of expected goals 81.1%

Total expected goals3.33Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Adelaide Cobras0.63

Away share of expected goals 18.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Modbury Jets

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Adelaide Cobras

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Win probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
0.63
Modbury JetsAdelaide Cobras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modbury Jets signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Cobras signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Cobras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modbury Jets win 71%,Draw 17%,Adelaide Cobras win 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over