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AUS Австралия - Щатска Лига 1 на Южна Австралия · Мач ·

Модбъри Джетс vs Аделаида Кобрас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–13.33 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина71%
Равен17%
Победа за госта12%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина71% selection probability
Projected score3–1Модбъри ДжетсАделаида Кобрас
Expected goals3.33Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над65% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
71% / 17% / 12%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Аделаида Кобрас win (12.1%)Двоен шанс1X87.9%1.14
Над 65% · Под 35%Goals 2.5Над65%1.54
Да 44% · Не 56%И двата отбора да отбележатНе56%1.79
3.33 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapМодбъри Джетс winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Модбъри Джетс win71%1.411.2770.3%+0.7 pp
Равен17%5.885.2517%0.0 pp
Аделаида Кобрас win12%8.337.0012.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Модбъри Джетс2.70

Домакин share of expected goals 81.1%

Total expected goals3.33Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 65% · Под 35%

Аделаида Кобрас0.63

Гост share of expected goals 18.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Не 56%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Модбъри Джетс

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Аделаида Кобрас

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
0.63
Модбъри ДжетсАделаида Кобрас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Модбъри Джетс signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Аделаида Кобрас signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Модбъри Джетс vs Аделаида Кобрас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Модбъри Джетс печеливш 71%,Равен 17%,Аделаида Кобрас печеливш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · Над 2.5 65% · Current selection Над