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AUS Australia South Australia State League 1 · Матч ·

Modbury Jets vs Аделаида Кобрас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–13.33 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев71%
Ничья17%
Победа гостей12%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев71% selection probability
Projected score3–1Modbury JetsАделаида Кобрас
Expected goals3.33Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше65% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
71% / 17% / 12%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Аделаида Кобрас win (12.1%)Двойной шанс1X87.9%1.14
Больше 65% · Меньше 35%Goals 2.5Больше65%1.54
Да 44% · Нет 56%Обе забьютНет56%1.79
3.33 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapModbury Jets winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Modbury Jets win71%1.411.2770.3%+0.7 pp
Ничья17%5.885.2517%0.0 pp
Аделаида Кобрас win12%8.337.0012.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Modbury Jets2.70

Хозяева share of expected goals 81.1%

Total expected goals3.33Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 65% · Меньше 35%

Аделаида Кобрас0.63

Гости share of expected goals 18.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Нет 56%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Modbury Jets

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Аделаида Кобрас

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
0.63
Modbury JetsАделаида Кобрас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Modbury Jets signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Аделаида Кобрас signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Modbury Jets vs Аделаида Кобрас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Modbury Jets выигрыш 71%,Ничья 17%,Аделаида Кобрас выигрыш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.33 · ТБ 2.5 65% · Current selection Больше