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POL Poland III Liga · Kamp ·

Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.43 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier44%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier31%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Warta GorzowCarina Gubin
Expected goals3.43Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
44% / 25% / 31%KampresultatHjemmeseier44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dobbel sjanse1274.6%1.34
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Ja 67% · Nei 33%Begge lag scorerJa67%1.49
3.43 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapCarina Gubin winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Warta Gorzow win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Uavgjort25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Carina Gubin win31%3.233.0029.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Warta Gorzow1.63

Hjemme share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.43Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Carina Gubin1.80

Borte share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nei 33%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Warta Gorzow

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Carina Gubin

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
1.80
Warta GorzowCarina Gubin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Warta Gorzow signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carina Gubin signalBorte matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Warta Gorzow vunnet 44%,Uavgjort 25%,Carina Gubin vunnet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over