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POL Польша - Лига III · Матч ·

Варта Горжув vs Карина Губин

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.43 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей31%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Варта ГоржувКарина Губин
Expected goals3.43Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше67% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 25% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Двойной шанс1274.6%1.34
Больше 67% · Меньше 33%Goals 2.5Больше67%1.49
Да 67% · Нет 33%Обе забьютДа67%1.49
3.43 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapКарина Губин winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Варта Горжув win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Ничья25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Карина Губин win31%3.233.0029.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Варта Горжув1.63

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.43Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 67% · Меньше 33%

Карина Губин1.80

Гости share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 67% · Нет 33%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Варта Горжув

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Карина Губин

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
1.80
Варта ГоржувКарина Губин
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Варта Горжув signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Карина Губин signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Варта Горжув vs Карина Губин FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Варта Горжув выигрыш 44%,Ничья 25%,Карина Губин выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · ТБ 2.5 67% · Current selection Больше