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POL Polonia - III Liga · Meci ·

Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.43 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde44%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți31%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Warta GorzowCarina Gubin
Expected goals3.43Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
44% / 25% / 31%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Șansă dublă1275.1%1.33
Peste 67% · Sub 33%Goals 2.5Peste67%1.49
Da 67% · Nu 33%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa67%1.49
3.43 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapWarta Gorzow winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Warta Gorzow win44%2.272.0045%-1.0 pp
Egal25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Carina Gubin win31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Warta Gorzow1.63

Gazde share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.43Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 67% · Sub 33%

Carina Gubin1.80

Oaspeți share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 67% · Nu 33%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Warta Gorzow

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Carina Gubin

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Câștig probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
1.80
Warta GorzowCarina Gubin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Warta Gorzow signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carina Gubin signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Warta Gorzow câștig 44%,Egal 25%,Carina Gubin câștig 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Peste 2.5 67% · Current selection Peste