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POL Polónia - 3.ª Liga · Partida ·

Warta Gorzów vs Carina Gubin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–23.44 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa43%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante32%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Warta GorzówCarina Gubin
Expected goals3.44Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima67% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
43% / 25% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dupla Chance1275.1%1.33
Acima 67% · Abaixo 33%Goals 2.5Acima67%1.49
Sim 67% · Não 33%Ambas as equipes marcamSim67%1.49
3.44 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–2
10.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapWarta Gorzów winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Warta Gorzów win43%2.332.0543.9%-0.9 pp
Empate25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Carina Gubin win32%3.132.9031.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Warta Gorzów1.63

Mandante share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals3.44Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 67% · Abaixo 33%

Carina Gubin1.81

Visitante share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitSim 67% · Não 33%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Warta Gorzów

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Carina Gubin

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
1.81
Warta GorzówCarina Gubin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Warta Gorzów signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carina Gubin signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Warta Gorzów vs Carina Gubin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Warta Gorzów ganhou 43%,Empate 25%,Carina Gubin ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Acima 2.5 67% · Current selection Acima