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POL Polonia - Liga III · Partita ·

Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.43 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite31%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Warta GorzowCarina Gubin
Expected goals3.43Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra67% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 25% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Doppia Chance1274.6%1.34
Sopra 67% · Sotto 33%Goals 2.5Sopra67%1.49
Sì 67% · No 33%Entrambe le squadre segnano67%1.49
3.43 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapCarina Gubin winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Warta Gorzow win44%2.272.0044.7%-0.7 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Carina Gubin win31%3.233.0029.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Warta Gorzow1.63

Casa share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.43Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 67% · Sotto 33%

Carina Gubin1.80

Trasferta share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 67% · No 33%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Warta Gorzow

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Carina Gubin

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
1.80
Warta GorzowCarina Gubin
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Warta Gorzow signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carina Gubin signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Warta Gorzow vs Carina Gubin FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Warta Gorzow vinta 44%,Pareggio 25%,Carina Gubin vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Sopra 2.5 67% · Current selection Sopra