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POL Polonia - Liga III · Partita ·

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–13.12 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa60%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite17%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Expected goals3.12Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
60% / 23% / 17%Esito partitaVittoria casa60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Victoria Wrzesnia win (16.5%)Doppia Chance1X83.5%1.20
Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%Goals 2.5Sopra60%1.67
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Polonia Sroda Wlkp win60%1.67
Pareggio23%4.35
Victoria Wrzesnia win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.33

Casa share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.12Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 60% · Sotto 40%

Victoria Wrzesnia0.79

Trasferta share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Victoria Wrzesnia

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vinta probability excluding draw
17%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
0.79
Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Sroda Wlkp signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Victoria Wrzesnia signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vinta 60%,Pareggio 23%,Victoria Wrzesnia vinta 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Sopra 2.5 60% · Current selection Sopra