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POL Polen - III Liga · Kamp ·

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.12 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr60%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr17%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Expected goals3.12Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
60% / 23% / 17%KampresultatHjemmesejr60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Victoria Wrzesnia win (16.5%)Dobbeltchance1X83.5%1.20
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Begge hold scorerNej50%2.00
3.12 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Polonia Sroda Wlkp win60%1.67
Uafgjort23%4.35
Victoria Wrzesnia win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.33

Hjemme share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.12Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Victoria Wrzesnia0.79

Ude share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Victoria Wrzesnia

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vundet probability excluding draw
17%
12
Points from supplied form
3
2.33
Expected goals
0.79
Polonia Sroda WlkpVictoria Wrzesnia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Sroda Wlkp signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Victoria Wrzesnia signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Sroda Wlkp vundet 60%,Uafgjort 23%,Victoria Wrzesnia vundet 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.12 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over